Phillies make a tough major roster decision

Phillies Bolster Future Rotation with Painter’s 40-Man Addition

PHILADELPHIA – In a move that signals confidence in their pitching pipeline amid a transitional offseason, the Philadelphia Phillies have added highly touted prospect Andrew Painter to their 40-man roster, protecting the 22-year-old right-hander from the upcoming Rule 5 Draft. The decision, announced on November 18, 2025, comes as the Phillies navigate uncertainties in their starting rotation, including ace Zack Wheeler’s recent surgery and the departures of key players into free agency. Painter, long considered one of the organization’s crown jewels, joins outfielder Gabriel Rincones Jr. and fellow pitcher Alex McFarlane on the expanded roster, now totaling 33 players.

The Rule 5 Draft, set for December 11 during the Winter Meetings in Dallas, requires teams to protect eligible minor leaguers who have accrued enough service time to be poachable. For Painter, whose rapid ascent through the minors had been derailed by injury, this addition represents not just a safeguard but a clear pathway toward a major league debut in 2026. Phillies president of baseball operations Dave Dombrowski emphasized the organization’s belief in Painter’s upside during a recent media session, stating, “Andrew showed real progress this year, pitching every fifth day for the first time since his surgery. His command isn’t quite there yet, but the arm talent is undeniable. We’re excited to see him compete for a spot next spring.”

Painter’s journey to this moment has been a rollercoaster of prodigious talent and frustrating setbacks. Selected 13th overall in the 2021 MLB Draft out of Calvary Christian High School in Florida, the 6-foot-7 hurler burst onto the scene with a fastball that routinely touched 98 mph and a devastating slider that drew comparisons to elite strikeout artists like Gerrit Cole. In his professional debut that summer, Painter dazzled in the Rookie-level Florida Complex League, posting a 0.77 ERA over 23 1/3 innings with 35 strikeouts and just four walks. His command was pinpoint from the outset, a rarity for a high school draftee adjusting to wooden bats and professional hitters.

The 2022 season solidified Painter’s status as Philadelphia’s top pitching prospect. Promoted aggressively to High-A Clearwater, he dominated with a 1.32 ERA in seven starts before earning a midseason bump to Double-A Reading. Across 21 starts between the levels, he logged a 2.05 ERA, 1.05 WHIP, and an eye-popping 10.7 strikeouts per nine innings, while issuing fewer than two walks per nine. Batters hit just .169 against him, and his ability to locate a four-seam fastball up in the zone paired with a curveball that induced whiffs at a 40% clip made him untouchable. MLB Pipeline ranked him as the No. 6 overall prospect entering 2023, and whispers of a September call-up grew louder as the Phillies chased another deep playoff run.

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But baseball’s cruelty struck in spring 2023. During a minor league game, Painter felt a pop in his right elbow, leading to the devastating diagnosis of a torn UCL. Tommy John surgery sidelined him for the entire 2023 season and much of 2024, forcing the lanky righty into a grueling rehabilitation process that tested his resolve. “It was the lowest point of my career,” Painter admitted in a July 2025 interview with Phillies Nation. “You go from feeling invincible to questioning everything. But the support from the training staff and my family kept me grinding.” He returned to game action in late April 2024 at the Single-A level, easing back with short outings that showcased his velocity intact but his feel for the strike zone still rusty.

By 2025, Painter was fully cleared and slotted into a full workload, his first since the injury. Assigned primarily to Double-A Reading with a late-season promotion to Triple-A Lehigh Valley, he made 26 starts across 118 innings, finishing 5-8 with a 5.26 ERA and 1.49 WHIP. The raw numbers were a far cry from his pre-injury dominance – he surrendered 20 home runs, including 18 at Triple-A, ranking 13th-most among minor league pitchers – but context reveals a pitcher rebuilding his arsenal. Control remained an issue, with 62 walks against 112 strikeouts, but his fastball averaged 96.5 mph, and his slider generated a 35% whiff rate. Dombrowski noted the positives: “He attacked the zone more as the year went on and showed he can handle a starter’s routine. That’s huge for a guy coming off TJ.”

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The decision to protect Painter now, rather than risk losing him in the Rule 5, underscores the Phillies’ long-term vision for their rotation. Philadelphia enters the winter with questions abound. Wheeler, the 35-year-old workhorse who anchored the staff with a 2.87 ERA in 2025, underwent thoracic outlet decompression surgery on his right shoulder on September 23, leaving his spring readiness in doubt. Ranger Suárez, the lefty stalwart who posted a 3.46 ERA before a midseason hamstring strain, declined the Phillies’ $22.5 million qualifying offer and is now a free agent, flirting with teams like the Dodgers and Yankees. Cristopher Sánchez and Aaron Nola provide stability – Sánchez’s sinker induced a league-leading 60% ground-ball rate – but Taijuan Walker’s inconsistency (4.52 ERA) and Jesús Luzardo’s recent acquisition via trade add layers of uncertainty.

Enter Painter, whose addition could fill a pivotal void. Analysts project him as a mid-rotation arm with ace potential if he refines his secondary pitches. “If Wheeler’s out for the first month or two, Painter has a real shot at Opening Day,” said Phillies beat writer Matt Gelb in a post-announcement podcast. “His size and stuff fit perfectly in Citizens Bank Park, where he can elevate that fastball and let the defense work.” The Phillies’ farm system, once barren, now boasts depth, but protecting Painter prioritizes immediate impact over trade bait.

The other additions round out a youth infusion. Rincones Jr., a 24-year-old outfielder and Philadelphia’s No. 9 prospect, spent all of 2025 at Triple-A Lehigh Valley, slashing .255/.342/.458 with 18 home runs, 73 RBIs, and 21 steals in 119 games. His .800 OPS masked a scorching-hot second half (.943 OPS from July on), though his .107 average against lefties highlights platoon potential. Acquired in a 2022 trade with the Angels, Rincones could vie for at-bats in a crowded outfield featuring Brandon Marsh, Johan Rojas, and possibly a free-agent addition, especially with Kyle Schwarber also declining his qualifying offer and eyeing a move.

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McFarlane, another 24-year-old right-hander and No. 20 prospect, mirrors Painter’s injury arc, missing 2024 after his own Tommy John procedure. Split between High-A and Double-A, he posted a 4.84 ERA in 28 outings, transitioning to relief in August where his 100-mph fastball and slider combo tallied 163 strikeouts against 84 walks in 138 1/3 career minor league innings. “Alex has that closer’s arm but starter’s frame,” Dombrowski said. “We’re building options.”

This trio’s elevation leaves the Phillies with seven open 40-man spots, ample room for free-agent pursuits or trades. General manager Sam Fuld has hinted at bolstering the bullpen and corner infield, but the focus remains on sustaining contention after a 95-win 2025 season that ended in a Wild Card exit to the Braves. Painter’s protection is more than procedural; it’s a bet on homegrown talent in an era of escalating payrolls.

For Painter, the weight of expectation is familiar territory. “Being on the 40-man feels surreal, like the dream’s getting real,” he told reporters via Zoom from his Florida home. “I owe it to the organization that’s believed in me through the tough times. 2026 is about proving I belong.” As the Winter Meetings loom, Philadelphia’s faithful can dream of a rotation featuring Painter’s towering presence, a reminder that even after heartbreak, the future arrives fastball-up.

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